AfCFTA: Dangote Cement Consumption in Africa to Attain 275.7 MT By 2030

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Olawale Ajimotokan in Abuja

The removal of tariffs and non-tariff barriers under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) will help to speed up the expansion plans by Dangote Cement Plc in Sub- Saharan Africa and increase its consumption across 16 countries to 275. Metric tonnes by 2030.

This projection was contained in the study report on the potential benefits of AfCFTA on Nigeria that was unveiled by the Nigeria Office for Trade Negotiations (NOTN) in Abuja recently.

For the second time in four months, the federal government abstained from signing the AfCTA pact when the African Union (AU) Heads of Governments met on Sunday in Nouakchott, Mauritania, during the 31st Summit of the 55-member AU.

But the document which enunciated how the AfCFTA will broadly catalyse Nigeria’s economic performance and lay the foundation for inclusive growth in line with the vision of the Economic Recovery Growth Plan (ERGP) on export orientation and economic competitiveness, was reviewed by a lead Research Consultant with Africa International Trade and Commerce Research, Dr Olamide Taiwo.

Using the cement manufacturing sub-sector as a case study, the report said Dangote Cement which expects to reach 16 countries by 2023, reported sales revenue of N615.1 billion and a net worth asset minus liabilities of N797.3 billion.

Dangote currently maintain s cement production in 10 African countries, mainly in the Sub- Saharan region, including Ghana and Sierra Leone, where it carries out bulk import from Nigeria,

All the countries, according to the report, accounted for a combined GDP of $1.2 trillion in 2017 and total cement market potential of 121.9 Mt per annum and a total consumption of 64.3 Mt.

Cement consumption in Sub-Saharan African grew at average of 7.2 per cent between 2010-17 and is projected at 119.7 Mt in 2018, presenting a very large cement market.

Dangote Group’s share of the Cement market was 21.8 percent in 2016 and at the current growth rate, consumption is projected to reach 181.7 Mt in 2024 and 275.7 Mt in 2030.

Nigeria became self-sufficient in cement production in 2012 and a net exporter in 2016. With investment in several African countries with a view to expanding the cement market across the continent into 16 countries by 2023.

The group’s share of the cement market in Sub-Saharan Africa is projected at 27.1 percent in 2018 and expected to attain 59.4 per cent by 2030.

Its cement sales will grow to 88.6 Mt in 2024 and 140.1 Mt respectively by 2030 while the net worth which was N797 billion in 2016 will grow to N4.1 trillion by 2024 and N6.6 trillion by 2030.

A total of 16,045 jobs were projected to be created in Nigeria by 2018 within the cement sector and the number is expected to rise to 35, 085 in 2024 and 45, 662 in 2030.

Reacting to the study where 512 companies were polled, the DG NOTN Ambassador Chiedu Osakwe, said one of the low hanging fruits which government and stakeholders can harvest should include
Industrial incentives at African level to also consider procurement policies for Nigerian companies particularly for micro and small scale industries.

He also said the trade policy should protect manufacturers and industries to entail taking out of liberalization where tariff will go to zero of the 90 percent of level of tariff.