Hometruths by Adeola Akinremi: Email: firstname.lastname@example.org
I grew up listening to pattern of strokes on drums. From a scared forest near our house, we heard constant drumbeat; from a palace of a deceased famous king we heard early morning beating of drums; and from the market square a few steps away, sound from drums was what Gelede masquerade listened to before putting one foot in front of the other during festivals. My maternal uncle helped me to understand strokes on drums by explaining messages behind a particular drumbeat, the time; where the sound is coming from and why it matters.
So it was in my childhood years that I learned perceptive communications.
I try not to blow the vuvuzela of other people, especially when I donâ€™t agree with their political leanings, but Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, Pastor Tunde Bakare and Ibrahim Babangidaâ€™s recent open rebuke of President Muhammadu Buhariâ€™s leadership contain sounds from dangerous drums all over the country that the president may find difficult to hear, because of his lickspittles.
Clearly, if thereâ€™s one message for President Buhari in the sound of the drums I heard from the South to the North, it is that Mr. President is overstretching citizensâ€™ patience on the state of the nation.
I am aware that President Buhari hears regularly from his constituency, if I go by the much publicised and repeated allegory in the presidentâ€™s spokespersonâ€™s articles.
â€œOne evening I went to see him, and I told him,â€ wrote Mr. Femi Adesina, the presidentâ€™s spokesman who is doing a difficult job to sell a broken egg at original price. â€œMr. President there is this noise all over the country of hunger, he told me â€˜I am aware. I have a constituency. People from my own constituency pass the word to me and tell me that things are tough.â€™â€
But does Buhari hear more than words from his constituency? Does Mr. President hear the beating of the drums? Does he understand the pattern of strokes on the drums?
This is why Nigerians are bummed out: Some more than 7.956 million Nigerians became unemployed since Buhari was elected. I did not make up the data. The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed the truth. Based on what NBS churned out at the end of 2017, Mr. Buhari inherited the burden of creating jobs for less than eight million Nigerians who were out of job in 2015, when he was elected to bring change, but the number of people out of employment has doubled with no sign that it will abate.
In fact, the jump in figures for unemployment rate will be hard to reverse without foresight. The spiral downward shows â€œ14.2 per cent in Q4 2016 to 16.2 per cent in Q2 2017 and 18.8 per cent in Q3 2017.â€
To compound the woe, more people of ability to work bloated the figure for working population from 83.9 million in June 2017 to 85.1 million in September 2017. Certainly, Nigeria under Buhari didnâ€™t prepare for them. Donâ€™t forget that we missed the opportunity to hold census in 2016.
â€œThe number of people within the labour force who are unemployed or underemployed increased from 13.6 million and 17.7 million respectively in Q2 2017, to 15.9 million and 18 million in Q3 2017,â€ NBS said.
It is clearly a shattering moment for the country, when breadwinners now sit at home with families or roam the streets to avoid being asked the typical concerned question: howâ€™s work?
NBS figure is enough to make any sitting president and his party lose next round of elections, where people vote based on policy and where votes count. That is what Iâ€™m hearing in the drumbeat of despondency across the country.
Will Buhari be able to reverse the trend before the end of his tenure? I doubt. Here is why: the 2018 budget is in limbo, the National Assembly controlled by the All Progressives Congress, the presidentâ€™s party has said nothing will happen to the appropriation budget until April, because their concerns have not been addressed. How can you run a government on lotto (a game of chance) and expect true change?
Last year, the budget debacle nearly ruined everything and less than 50 per cent of the 2017 budget was implemented.
In a recent interview published by The Punch, a former Managing Director of Unity Bank Plc, Mr. Rislanudeen Mohammed, made a negative pass at Buhariâ€™s economic growth. â€œThe strategies put in place under the economic recovery and growth plan have yet to be effectively implemented,â€ he said. â€œFor example, for the capital expenditure aspect of the 2017 budget, it was only 15 per cent that was implemented as of the third quarter of 2017 and the Gross Domestic Product of 2.19 per cent projected for 2017 might as well be a mirage.
â€œCapital expenditure typically reflates an economy by creating more jobs and jumpstarting it towards sustainable recovery and growth in a typical Keynesian economic model.â€
Mohammedâ€™s observation puts a question mark on Buhariâ€™s talent in running a country and making it prosperous, after nearly three years in government.
Indeed, it is true. In a year, when Buhari is expected to tell positive narrative of his time in government to stimulate support for his party or his re-election, a damning report by the African Development Bank (AFDB) is equally making him look unserious and uninformed about how to boost ailing economy.
At nearly three years in government, Buhari appears to be a bystander in economic recovery plan. The evidence is in the prolonged agony in different homes and business places all over the country.
Now, under Buhari, the AFDBâ€™s latest economic outlook report shows significant increase in the number of people who fell into poverty rack with figure of 152 million citizens living on less than $2 a day. That calculation represents about 80 per cent of Nigeriaâ€™s population.
â€œPoverty is unacceptably high,â€ declares AFDB. â€œNearly 80 per cent of Nigeriaâ€™s 190 million people live on less than $2 a day,â€
Okay, it is legitimate for those serving with Buhari to find fault with my analysis, but Iâ€™m only taking Mr. President by his words. I was there in the beginning, when we all hired our minds out to hope, trusting he will truly turn things around, based on his words and â€œbody language,â€ and we cannot say they donâ€™t matter now.
To be sure, in September 2015, during a three-day tour of France to prepare his government for economic success, he addressed a gathering of investors at the Nigerian-France Presidential Business Forum (PBF) in Paris with unusual conviction that Nigeria under him will accelerate economic growth and pull millions out of poverty.
â€œNigeria is now at a new dawn to chart and reposition its destiny for greatness,â€ he said. â€œWe have resolved and firmly determined to consolidate on industrialising Nigeria and diversifying its economy into sectors such as agro-processing, mining, manufacturing, petro-chemicals, food processing and textiles.â€ Interestingly, the sectors mentioned are still burdened with challenges unattended to by this government in a way that will fire up impressive gains.
The figures of small growth not withstanding in the manufacturing sector is hampered by perennial infrastructure problems such as poor power supply, high cost of self-generated energy, poor road network and rail services.
For instance, Frank Jacobs, who leads Manufacturing Association of Nigeria (MAN), said: â€œMost companies, such as Coca-Cola, Wempco, Nigeria Flour Mills and especially the multi-nationals self-generate their power. They donâ€™t rely on the national grid.â€
Be mindful that these companies produce products that Nigerians go after for one reason or the other and their outlook report is supposed to attract foreign investors. The companies are some of the places where you can find true figure of job creations and employment to make a case for re-election, but their reports are in the negative, from downsizing to closure and losses to lethargy.
In fact, when I learned that companies in the league of Manufacturing Association of Nigeria spend N20.8 billion monthly on power generation to run their production processes, I figured out that Nigerians will pay for it and with household income that is so poor, patronage will reduce when the price of commodity go up. Of course, the poverty level can only be imagined, when purchasing power is low in any economy. It has a rub-off effect on healthcare too.
To flip the narrative, Nigeria will need a president that will not test-run, but take the bull by the horns. For that to happen, I believe Buhari can help the country progress by supporting Nigeriaâ€™s quest for a forward-leader. Iâ€™m sure he knows that within Nigeriaâ€™s 190 million population there are many brilliant leaders in the North and South, who can continue to take the country forward.
Yes, Buhari can stand for election again, but his statesmanship will be in directing his energy at helping the country find a forward-leader that is desperately needed.
Here are my final words. Presidency of Nigeria is not by divine rights. It is simply a contract. In 1963, Americaâ€™s civil right leader, Rev. Martin Luther king Jr said something very profound and president Buhari should think on those words that â€œthe ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.â€
When a police officer like Moshood Jimoh, who speaks for the force calls a state governor a â€œdrowning man,â€ he must be acting on intelligence. With every government in this country, the Nigerian Police Force have played active role siding with a sitting president, especially during election year. Instead of carrying out their duties without fear or favour, they suddenly join the political fray. The force seems to owe its allegiance to Mr. President than to the constitution.
The recent statement by Moshood, during an interview on Channels Television, labeling the governor of Benue State, Samuel Ortom, as a â€œdrowning manâ€ is unprofessional and uncharitable for a police officer who speaks for the force. It should not be condoned.
It amazes me how one man appears to be accelerating delivery of good news at a time, when the news about this government is generally in the negative. The last time I checked, the Nigerian Maritime Administration and Safety Agency (NIMASA) is turning vast coastline of over 850 kilometres into economic hub, where international business groups are taking active interest. One example was recent endorsement by The United States Coast Guard (USCG). That the U.S. expressed satisfaction at the compliance level of Nigeria with the International Ships and Ports Security (ISPS) facility Code at the nation’s ports is commendable. The visit by Lt. Commander Jacob Hopper of the International Port Security (IPS) is an enabler. The resourcefulness of NIMASA at this time comes from its leadership, Dr. Dakuku Peterside. Such a turn-around drive is desired at all levels of government.
Courage from Courtroom
The technological innovation in our justice system is something that should cheer us. It is good to know that filing case in court by hand will no longer be acceptable. But Iâ€™m eager to see the court move beyond electronic mailing of case documents to making available court records on each local court websites. It will go a long way in improving access to information and public record. The justice system can help improve transparency by releasing unclassified documents (court records) to the public through its website.