Osun and the 3,498 ‘Super Delegates’

The Verdict By Olusegun Adeniyi, Email: olusegun.adeniyi@thisdaylive.com

At the end, the decision as to who becomes the next Governor of Osun is left in the hands of 3,498 voters in just seven polling units across four local government areas in the state. But given how high the stake has become, it is my prayer that the exercise does not degenerate into another bazaar or a financial shoot-out in which the highest bidder takes the day. I am also hoping that the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) can complete, without further hitches, the exercise it started so brilliantly.

Evidently impressed by what he had observed at the weekend, the Deputy Chief of Mission at the United States Embassy, Mr David Young praised the commission, though he spoke before the election was declared inconclusive. “They (INEC) are moving forward and in a positive way. I think this is going to be a very close election. It is going to come down to a very small margin…We at the United States have had very close elections too. I urge the people to be peaceful and respect the result that comes out in the time ahead.”

While there were 48 candidates in the race last Saturday, the choice has been narrowed down to two: Senator Ademola Adeleke of the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) who led with 353 votes and Gboyega Oyetola of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) who came second. That the margin is small makes the exercise of today very dicey. A politician I discussed with on Monday said he would win were he to be either the PDP or the APC candidate and I asked him how. He said he would simply treat the 3,498 voters as ‘super delegates’ with N200,000 allocated for each.

The man broke it down for me. If he were Adeleke, with an ‘extra’ 353 votes already in the kitty he explained, he would need no more than 1600 ballots even if everybody on the voters register turned up. With that, all the ‘logistics’ he would mobilise and deploy is just about N320 million. If he were Oyetola, he would need about 1900 votes so that would cost him about N380 million. Either way, we are still talking of about a million dollars which is small potato to our politicians when it comes to gaming elections at that level. While I join in commending INEC for improving on many areas last weekend, I hope the commission will insist on the policy of no camera inside the polling booth which ensured that the promoters of ‘see and buy’ who had a field day during the Ekiti State gubernatorial election in June were checkmated in Osun State.

That the prospective 3,498 voters are indeed being treated as ‘Super Delegates’ can be glimpsed from what has been happening since the poll was declared inconclusive on Sunday. Ordinarily, you would expect both Adeleke and Oyetola to embark on house-to-house campaign in the affected areas but instead, the whole exercise has been reduced to cutting deals not directly with the voters but rather with those who have already exercised their own franchise, essentially because of the assumption that they control the ‘Super Delegates’. From the Senate President and other top politicians in the PDP to the APC National Chairman and five of their governors, the residence of Omisore has become the new political Mecca and he was the man with whom everybody wanted to take photograph until he finally decided yesterday afternoon. Meanwhile, I will not be surprised if some political contractors have been serving as ‘intermediaries’ between the candidates and the voters in the affected areas.

While we will deal with these vexatious issues in our politics another day, let me quickly highlight the most significant lessons that can be drawn from what transpired last weekend. One, education and intellect no longer matter in the choice of leadership in Nigeria and on that, I will leave readers to draw their own conclusion. Two, political parties are mere labels because most of them stand for the same thing, a reason why it is very easy for our politicians to dump one for another at any given time. Three, and most significant, voters in our country are becoming more empowered.

In his piece, “Osun: Election as Theatre” on Tuesday, Dr Reuben Abati wrote on how Aregbesola and other APC leaders, who were apparently expecting an easy ride because the opposition was fractionalized into several parties, must have been shocked that the PDP candidate could still put up such a strong performance. “What they will also not easily admit is that Adeleke’s performance is from all indications…a comment on the prevailing order in that state: a vote against non-payment of salaries, and pensions, and a comment on the arrogance of the APC elite” wrote Abati and I completely agree.

The bulk of the votes Adeleke got came from people who were out to punish a government that owe its workers several months in salaries. Whatever may be the final outcome at the end of today, it is safe to conclude that majority of Osun electorate want a change and anyone, including someone with F9 in English but distinction in dancing, would do, simply because they do not want to reward bad behaviour. There are also APC faithfuls who may be protesting the imposition of the gubernatorial candidate by the party lords. Adeleke benefitted from both, even when it is difficult to ascertain his capacity for managing a state that is already heavily indebted. But let us go back to the political hubris.

When in July last year, Ademola Adeleke won the Osun West Senatorial bye-election to replace his late brother, Isiaka, it should have dawned on Aregbesola that he miscalculated. It should also have taught the APC leaders some lessons for the future but they were apparently too absorbed in their own invincibility to learn anything. For instance, if Adeleke had been given the senatorial ticket to complete the tenure of his deceased brother, he and his supporters would have remained in APC. But the matter was handled in such an antagonistic manner that the younger Adeleke had to leave for PDP where he was handed the Senatorial ticket with which he secured a landslide victory against the APC candidate. From that moment, it became clear that the ‘Ajobiewe’ Senator would go for the governorship of the state. It was also at that point that hubris set in for Aregbesola and the APC leadership.

Among the candidates who sought the Osun State APC gubernatorial ticket, the most popular was Moshood Adeoti, the former Secretary to the State Government and a grassroots politician from Iwo. The local sentiment in the state was also on his side. Of the three senatorial districts in the state, the only one that has not produced a governor under the current dispensation is Osun West so the popular expectation was that Adeoti would secure the APC ticket, given the not-so-subtle clamour for power shift. At the end, it was Oyetola, who hails from the same Central zone where Bisi Akande and Olagunsoye Oyinlola (who spent a combined period of 11 years in office) come from, that secured the ticket because he had the support of the powers-that-be within the party.

This then takes us to the biggest lesson in the Osun election that we should also not gloss over. The disdain for consensus and utter disrespect for local sensitivities by those who call themselves leaders in Nigeria is at the heart of the challenge we face in the polity today. And until we successfully deal with it, there will be no meaningful development in our country.

On Tuesday afternoon, I had lunch with some prominent Nigerians from the North and from the discussion at the table, in virtually all the northern states where the governor has done a second term in both the PDP and APC, the persons they are pushing as candidates of their parties and likely successors are either their cousin or brother in-law. A few of them that do not care about bloodlines are promoting known lackeys. But the problem is not restricted to the North; afterall, in Imo State, Rochas Okorocha is desperate to enthrone his son-in-law as his successor while the Osun APC problem started with someone wanting his cousin as the next governor.

Anybody who has followed the argument within the ruling APC on what to adopt between direct and indirect primaries will see how difficult it is to enthrone democracy in our country. At the end, the governors and the godfathers chose the one they think will produce desired outcome. Even those canvassing direct primaries know what they are doing; after all, they determine who the party members that can vote are since no political party in Nigeria has a credible register. With that, the people have already been rigged out because, in many of these states come February next year, the electorate may be left with no more than a choice between maggot-infested apples and rotten oranges.

Last week, I started a series on the relevance of a manageable number of issues-based political parties to the development of our society against the background of the current situation where every politician aspires to own his/her own political party. I am well aware that in the age of social media when several countries are choosing relatively young leaders on the strength of their vision, intellect and charisma, there is an urgent need for a paradigm shift in the way we play politics. But in our country, and perhaps in so many others, the route to power still remains the platforms of popular political parties, not the fringe ones, at least in the immediate future. And that is why there must be a serious reform in the manner candidates emerge from those political parties, if our democracy is to deliver on public good.
This conversation shall continue.


Jim Ovia’s Rise to the Zenith

Only few people are equipped with the requisite experience and exposure to offer perspectives on how best to waltz through the odds and beat all challenges to attain business success. In Nigeria and indeed Africa, Mr Jim Ovia surely ranks among those few who have what it takes to discuss such a topic at global level, and he recently did by putting down his thoughts. Therefore, if there is any book that would-be-entrepreneurs on the continent need to read, it is ‘Africa Rise and Shine: How a Nigerian entrepreneur from humble beginning grew a business to $16 billion’ because it challenges many of the assumptions on what differentiates those who realize their dreams from the defeated ones who walk quietly back home.

In ‘Africa Rise and Shine’, Ovia tells a compelling story of how what is today a multinational bank with branches in several countries started “as a single branch in Lagos on the ground floor of an improvised residential duplex that we shared with a private tenant and his wife”. That is because he and his team could not afford a stand-alone building at the time. Yet, less than three decades later, that same bank has annexed the entire street in the commercial capital of Nigeria, a stretch of road in a highbrow area of Victoria Island, Lagos that has almost become synonymous with Zenith Bank.

Without doubt, ‘Africa Rise and Shine’ is a most revealing book. Divided into 30 chapters which explored the gamble, the sacrifices and the expertise that combined to make Zenith Bank what it is today, notable players in both the corporate world and the media like Richard Branson of Virgin Group, Aliko Dangote of Dangote Group, David Applefield of Financial Times, Dominic Barton of McKinsey and Matt Lilley of Prudent Africa added their insightful blurbs.

Though initially inspired by an Africa Forbes magazine cover story, “Why $825 Million Means Nothing to Me – Jim Ovia: The Godfather of Banking,” which sold out within days of publication, Ovia said the moment he began writing the book, his determination was to respond to some negative stereotypes by illustrating the untold story of the positive vibes in Africa – a continent of abundant human and natural resources that is also brimming with immense and diverse investment opportunities. And to a large extent, he delivered.

While ‘Africa Rise and Shine’ sheds light on the principles and practices that brought Ovia to fame and fortunes, the author also sought to provide insight, not just for bankers, but for other young African professionals on how to nurture their endeavours to success. First, Ovia appreciates the daunting challenges such as infrastructural deficits, unstable government policies and other factors that often confront entrepreneurs on the continent. But going by his story, such deficiencies can actually be platforms on which successful dreams could be built and nurtured. Principal among the secrets of Ovia’s success, for instance, is an intuitive entrepreneurial ability to consider obstacles as entry points to brand building and the vision to translate “not yet” into “finally now”.

According to Ovia in ‘Africa Rise and Shine’, he listens to his gut and takes his instincts very seriously. A good illustration is that while studying in the United States in the seventies, though his college advisor convinced him to focus on business management and administration, he held on to his passion for computer science at a period Bill Gates and Paul Allen were just coming up with Microsoft. “My career could be plotted on a graph as series of gut decisions that propelled me further and further ahead of others of the pack. Most significant has been my interest from a young age, in emerging technologies that simply did not exist in Africa, and basing decisions on the belief that mastering and incorporating them onto business – especially computer and internet technology – was imperative for any business wishing to survive and grow in business,” Ovia wrote.

Apparently pushed by that intuition, in the course of his senior years at the university, Ovia took up a night job as a computer operator at the Baton Rouge Bank and Trust, a move he considered “greatly fortuitous” because he was being paid for a knowledge he craved. It was also while at the bank that Ovia got his most remarkable experience by gaining insight into how an America bank uses data processing in its operations, a knowledge he later deployed when he founded Zenith Bank.

Although the emphasis of the author is that his instinct paid off, it is also difficult to discountenance preparation which is necessary for any entrepreneur desirous of success as well as the ability to take calculated risks both of which were evident in the Ovia story. On the former, instinct may have fired Ovia’s interest in computer at a time it was not so popular but there was also a desire to prepare ahead for what he saw as the next big break.

Armed with a first degree in Business Administration in 1977 and an MBA two years later from the University of Louisiana in Monroe, Ovia upon return to Nigeria combined his mandatory National Youth Service Scheme (NYSC) primary assignment with a second job, which entailed writing feasibility reports for manufacturing companies. After his NYSC in 1980, he joined the International Merchant Bank (IMB), a subsidiary of First International Bank of Chicago as a financial analyst. Again, while there, according to Ovia, he received “excellent training from very experienced bankers.”

Knowledgeable about banking techniques and capitalising on the collapse of oil prices in 1980s, which led to the implementation of Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) in 1986, a measure designed to restore the Nigerian economy by extending opportunities to the private sector through commercialising or privatising previously regulated industries, Ovia toyed with the idea of applying to acquire a banking license. “When I learned of the opportunity, I decided to make an application to acquire a banking license” he recounted.

At this point, the story gets more interesting. “There were two types of banking licenses issued in Nigeria at that time – those for merchant banks and those for commercial banks. The latter required a higher equity contribution of N20 million ($4 million) from investors and entailed more difficult business operation, therefore many chose the easier route of applying for a merchant bank license (equity contribution of N6 million – $1.2 million). My gut told me to go the more expensive, complicated route – the road less traveled. So, I decided to apply for a commercial banking license instead”, Ovia wrote of the gamble that paid off.

Written essentially for young entrepreneurs within the continent who are still trying to find their bearing as well some of the aspiring ones who feel discouraged by the daunting challenges they confront, ‘Africa Rise And Shine’ contains several wise nuggets, including learning negotiation skills even from the most mundane of experiences. But the bottomline remains that negotiations involve ultimately finding common grounds for the benefit of the parties while the shrewdest would always secure the best deal. On many occasions, Ovia came on top in such negotiations as can be glimpsed from the chapter on ‘How and why MTN bought Visafone’.

Indeed, that latent skill in negotiations had helped Ovia when it came to what he tagged “the most important negotiation in my banking career.” That was when CBN was to determine which applications for banking licences were to be recommended for approval. During the interview session, officials from the apex bank’s supervision department had said to him: “Mr Ovia, we regret, although we ate impressed with your credentials, that we cannot grant our recommendation for you to be the CEO of a bank. In fact, we are surprised that you are applying at all, for you must be aware that applicants complete twenty years of banking experience to quality for such license. You have had only ten years of banking experience. “

Undaunted, Ovia said he told the CBN team that he was aware of the rule, but insisted that he had gained superior banking experience at global institutions like IMB, FNBC’s subsidiary in Nigeria and Merchant Bank of Africa, a Bank of America subsidiary, and that he had everything it took to run a successful bank. “In the end, the CBN directors issued their approval to the Minister of Finance, recommending that I be granted my application to become the pioneer CEO of the new Zenith Bank,” he recalled.

This is instructive because, according to Ovia, “of the twenty-five CEO applicants that CBN recommended to the Minister of Finance, only three in addition to myself had just ten years of experience. After that, they imposed a mandatory requirement of twenty years’ experience, and that rule is still in effect today. If I hadn’t negotiated as I did, I would have been forced to wait many years to make my applications.”

Reading through ‘Africa Rise and Shine’, Ovia’s zeal to create a first-class bank was evident in all the growth stages of Zenith Bank. That zeal saw him through the licensing stage, commencement of operations, introduction of innovative banking systems, as well as in the aggressive growth strategy both locally and internationally. Of course, there were also challenges along the way. The bank survived the 1999 Y2k millennium bug and the 2004 federal government directive that banks must be recapitalised at a minimum of N25 billion ($188 million) from N2 billion, or be liquidated. It was a development that sunk 65 of the 90 banks in existence back then, but Zenith was one of the only two banks that had no need to acquire or merge with any other financial institution. To cope with that, the bank simply announced an initial public offering (IPO), which was oversubscribed to the tune of a whooping N48 billion ($360 million back then).

While ‘Africa Rise and Shine’ is highly recommended for the insights it provides for budding entrepreneurs as well as teachers and students of business on the continent, the story of Ovia will however be incomplete without underscoring his insatiable urge to give back to the country that has given him the opportunity to soar so high and that was well captured in the concluding part of the book. In the end, ‘Africa Arise and Shine’ is a story of how business success could be achieved through a strong commitment to one’s inspired dream, an abiding tenacity of purpose and a can-do spirit that sets apart only a few from the crowd.

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