Chineme Okafor in Abuja
The World Bank has said that Nigeria would need to connect between 500,000 to 800,000 new households to electricity sources every year between now and 2030 to be able to achieve her targets of universal access to electricity for its citizens.
The Bank said this in a draft report of its environment and social systems assessment (ESSA) of the Power Sector Recovery Program (PSRP) it is working on with the federal government which THISDAY obtained in Abuja.
It also said figures thrown around by the country on the number of its citizens that have electricity meters connected to their consumption points were unclear, being that the 11 electricity distribution companies (Discos) have figures that are different from what the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has.
According to the Bank, Nigeriaâ€™s inability to provide electricity to about 80 million of its people meant that it is the second country after India in the world with more of her population without electricity and the first in Sub-Saharan Africa.
â€œWith about 80 million people lacking access to grid electricity, Nigeria has the largest access deficit in Sub-Saharan Africa and the second largest in the world, after India.
â€œUp to 83.6 per cent of the urban population had access while only 39.1 per cent of the rural population did. Similarly, the connection rate ranges from 26.7 per cent in the north east to 82.4 per cent in the south-south zone.
â€œLevels of access to electricity also vary between the states, from close to universal access in Lagos to about 11 per cent in Taraba. Thirteen states have levels of access below 40 per cent. This can be compared with the incidence of absolute poverty in each state,â€ said the report.
It further explained: â€œThe governmentâ€™s target is to achieve 75 per cent electrification by 2025, which would require doubling the number of households with connections by that date. To achieve universal access to electricity by 2030, Nigeria would need to connect between 500,000 to 800,000 households per year.
â€œBoth grid extension and off-grid solutions will be needed to provide quality services to the unserved and underserved households and businesses in a timely manner,â€ the bank added.
On the disparity in the metering figures, the report noted that: â€œNigeria had 9.5 million electricity customers in 2016 (NERC projection). The number of customers per Disco varies widely, from 345,000 (Yola) to 1,750,000 (Ibadan).
â€œThe true number of customers is not accurately known, however, Discosâ€™ own figures for their tariff revision submissions totaled 6.49 million customers, while the latest household survey in 2015/16 estimates that around 19 million households have some access to electricity,â€ the bank said.
It stated that electricity customers in Nigeriaâ€™s power market fall into four categories of residential; commercial; industrial; and public, adding that residential customers accounted for about 59 per cent of electricity consumed, while commercial consumers accounted for about 19 per cent and industrial customers accounted for about seven per cent.
â€œThe relatively small share of electricity consumed by industrial customers may be related to the prevalence of own-generation by industrial businesses. Among households, electricity access is still limited in Nigeria,â€ it said.