NOW THAT THE RACE HAS STARTED

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PEDULUM By Dele Momodu, Email: dele.momodu@thisdaylive.com
PENDULUM
BY DELE MOMODU
Fellow Nigerians, let me say exciting times are here again. You may ask what is so exciting about this period with our myriad of problems? Please, allow me to put it this way. Politicians are like students while the voters are their teachers. Every now and then the chickens come home to roost and politicians are forced to test their popularity and performance. The examiners are the voters who have waited patiently for this time to come so that they can pass or fail their representatives as they deem fit. Sometimes the electorate get things right. Oftentimes they get it wrong, as we’ve seen on many occasions. What is important is that it is payback time, for good or for bad.
There is no time for any long preamble today. The nitty-gritty of this epistle is dictated by two major events that occurred almost simultaneously during the week, signalling the beginning of the 2019 Presidential race. First, was the open and frontal declaration of Ekiti State Governor, Dr Peter Ayodele Fayose, a man of immense courage. Second, was the release of the electoral timetable by the electoral umpire, INEC. Prior speculations about who’s running or not will soon be affirmed or refuted. The time has finally come for the masquerades to come out of the groves and dance in the marketplace.
Love him or hate him, Governor Fayose’s declaration is bound to kick-start the electoral jamboree and give impetus to others who have been rather squeamish or “squirmish” about throwing their hats into the ring. Also, I love the fact that the ruling government can no longer afford to be complacent. We now have an aspirant, who for whatever he is worth will definitely keep the APC on its toes. The controversy has already started because Fayose is the quintessential hype-man. If he does not court publicity, propaganda would always trail him. He is a master of the game who understands that a bully only respects a bully. The ruling government may pretend that he is no threat, but they understand the adage that “a leper may not be able to squeeze milk but he definitely knows how to spill it…” Let no one dismiss Fayose. Remember the way some of us swore Donald Trump will never defeat Hillary Clinton in many lifetimes to come.
It would be a big shame if APC fails to see the urgent need to reposition and repackage itself as quickly as possible. My ideas may seem a bit radical and far-fetched but they remain my kobo advise to President Buhari and his team. If I were President Buhari, I will start grooming a successor right now. By the time he finishes his first term in 2019, he would have attained the age of 76, or thereabout. By then, he should be thankful to God for preserving his life after a rigorous battle with some near-fatal ailments. At that age and stage, Nigeria deserves some fresh leader, in body, mind and soul. The world has moved beyond the type of leadership we are currently saddled with. Buhari was a choice for a special reason and purpose. He has served and fulfilled that righteousness. I believe, with all due respect, that he should set Nigeria on the path to higher glory by getting his succession plan right. Many of his predecessors were too pre-occupied with self-adulation that they forgot the future. By the time the future inevitably arrived, it was too late to turn the hands of the clock backwards.
President Buhari still has over one year to prepare for the epic journey ahead.. It is certain and obvious that he would be tempted like all mortals to cling to power, and as a matter of right anyway, but may God grant him the uncommon wisdom and that spirit of selflessness to be able to resist the allure of office and power. The APC has a lot to gain from his sacrifice and he would have placed himself on a higher pedestal in global reckoning. He has many able disciples who can carry his legacy to a much higher level. The world would remember him as a leader who came at a time of serious crisis and averted the cataclysmic collapse of Nigeria, laid a solid foundation and handed over to competent builders and performers.
In other to avoid an acrimonious transition, the President should invite some interested and influential members of his party and allow its politburo to vote or decide amongst themselves the shape of the new government they wish to form. Their decision is more likely to be binding on the party in general. President Buhari owes it to Nigeria to kill the ethnic and religious tension in our country. He’s always been viewed as a religious bigot and ethnic jingoist but he can redeem himself gracefully by championing new causes, breaking down walls of superstition as well as exterminating those primordial sentiments that have bedevilled our country and sent us several centuries backward. Buhari should help in combing every part of Nigeria and beyond for the best brains and talents that God has kindly endeared and endowed us with. He should realise that nothing could be as fortunate as being handed a second chance on a platter of gold as has happened to him. He has nothing more to gain but plenty to lose.
I would not be shocked or surprised if those currently enjoying the spoils of power dismiss my appeal to our dear beloved President as arrant nonsense. However, the truth is that Nigeria is in crisis and critical mode, deserving the most accomplished surgeons the country has, to excise the cancers and tumours ravaging her. We can no longer continue to wobble and fumble at the present snail speed. Time does not wait for anyone. And it will certainly not wait for Nigeria. APC parades many fantastic leaders but they are not able to blossom and glow in full bloom because of the overpowering aura of President Buhari. That power can be put to better use by helping APC to remain intact without experiencing the type of implosion that sentenced PDP to its shallow grave.
I will like to see APC retain the support and loyalty of Atiku Abubakar (who I believe should act like a true father of the party rather than desperately trying to return to power 12 years after he retired as Vice President) and Bola Ahmed Tinubu (who should continue in his now acclaimed role of kingmaker). These two titans of the party should support President Buhari in harnessing the talents and strengths of the Vice President, Yemi Osinbajo, Bukola Saraki, Dogara Yakubu, Rabiu Kwankwaso, Nasir El Rufai, Aminu Tambuwal, Babatunde Raji Fashola, Rochas Okorocha, Rotimi Amaechi, Olorunnimbe Mamora, and several others who may be hovering in the wings with the hopes of becoming President or Vice President in the not too distant future. If these great assets are not well-managed and encouraged to sacrifice their personal ambitions and interests for the sake of Nigeria, history might just repeat itself because a house divided against itself will not stand.
Such a similar situation was mismanaged by former President Goodluck Jonathan who inadvertently lost the election the day he allowed some key members of PDP, to saunter away to join a new coalition called APC. With the benefit of hindsight, I am sure Jonathan would have eaten humble pie and stopped those aggrieved party members, by fire by force. Unfortunately, he was goaded and egged on by sycophants who probably boasted that Atiku, Saraki, Amaechi, and company were easily dispensable. They were dead wrong. Their exit led to the tsunami that swept away the Jonathan government.
My prediction is that if Buhari decides to stubbornly pursue his own personal ambition and agenda by not making the necessary sacrifice at this crucial moment, he may be swamped and consumed by the lava of the volcanic eruption that would definitely hit his party in a most devastating manner. Truth be told, Buhari would not have even picked the ticket of APC in the last primary election but for the herculean task and audacious effort of Tinubu, Amaechi, Saraki and others who performed the miracle of turning water into wine.
Believe me, nobody wins election in Nigeria based on sainthood or clean records. Elections require the ability to raise cash, tonnes and tonnes of it. In case he is oblivious to what transpired in the last election, the President should ask his campaign team what it cost to oil that blistering operation that catapulted the “invincible” Jonathan out of power. Who donated what and how were APC agents funded nationwide? It is not going to be that simple this time around. Most of those who fell for the change mantra have since changed from billionaires and millionaires to paupers. Many supported Buhari hoping they would not be hounded but permitted to henceforth do business the proper way. They were unprepared for the fury unleashed against them which has ensured they’ve not been able to do business, clean or dirty. They are just licking their wounds with equanimity and hoping that this nightmare shall soon pass away. Undoubtedly the Nigerian economy has suffered as a result.  The main beneficiaries have been shady multinationals who continue to steal us blind whilst claiming to support a failing corruption crusade.
Therefore, APC has to urgently re-strategize by picking one of its trusted and tested younger personages, hoping that he may reignite the much-needed passion in Nigerian youths, the business community and all those who feel short-changed and brutalised by the Buhari government. If APC lacks the courage to rejig its modus operandi, it may be forced to swallow its own phlegm sooner than later…
I will soon offer an analysis on what PDP needs to do to bounce back and beat the APC. My advice to all those who think PDP is dead and buried is that they should perish the thought because Lazarus may still rise. As a matter of fact, PDP is not dead. It is merely a sleeping and snoring giant. We may yet be in for a rude awakening on all counts!
 
 
THE UNTOLD STORY OF CHIEF MOSHOOD ABIOLA
On July 7, 2018, it would be exactly 20 years since Chief Moshood Kashimawo Olawale Abiola suddenly died in solitary confinement. No one has been able to give a comprehensive account of the June 12, 1993, saga till this day. Nigerians, and the world at large remain in total darkness about why Nigeria’s best election was annulled, those with noble or dastardly roles, why the winner ended up in detention instead of Aso Rock, and how finally, only his lifeless body was brought back home.
Ovation Books, a new arm of Ovation Communications, is poised to offer a special publication on what remains another dark chapter in the chequered existence of our country. We need your help to make this dream a reality. All we need is access to hitherto never revealed information. We shall also be knocking on doors to seek definite answers to pertinent questions.
Did you know Abiola one on one, or do you have credible information that can help recapture the period of campaign, election, annulment, incarceration and disappearance from public glare from 1994-98? Were you a personnel at some of the detention centres he was kept? You may wish to write to us, even anonymously, about your experience. You may send text messages to us via +2348055069220, +233233751111. We promise prompt responses and where necessary will get one of our researchers to meet with you.
At Ovation Books, we plan to reduce the dearth of information on very distinguished Nigerians, by publishing biographies of great men and women. We are counting on your kind prayers as always.  The Abiola and June 12 debacle is just a tantalising beginning!
 
  • “Korede

    Bob Dee, I quote from the piece.

    “Believe me, nobody wins election in Nigeria based on sainthood or clean records. Elections require the ability to raise cash, tonnes and tonnes of it. ”

    Ca we know what the money is meant for or is the detailed statement of income and expenditures on the last presidential campaign available ?

    I hope you are aware of 7 Billion Naira dispute between Willie Obiano the governor of Anambra and Peter Obi the immediate past governor of the same state on the campaign funds?

    This is one of the reasons of non performance by the politicians.

  • RumuPHC

    Another pile of mess from Dele ..!

  • Efeturi Ojakaminor

    Is the governor of Ekiti State now DR. Fayose. When and where did he obtain his doctorate degree? Just want to know so as to be updated.

  • Ralph

    There is something obviously very wrong with the Mamodu family. Lousy and principleless people

  • Country man

    Mr Dele,
    First, you need to apologize to the Nigerian people for having supported this man Buhari who is too parochial in his outlook. He has not served any useful purpose other than take this country down on the road to infamy. Fighting Corruption; which is his biggest selling point is still very much around after 2 years. All other indices of development are all pointed downhill too.

    Now on the issue of the next president of Nigeria you guys in the fourth estate are making a big error which is this:-
    Trying to permutate who will win and who will lose the next elections.
    The issue that should be in the front burner is HOW WE WILL CHANGE THE PRESENT RENT SEEKING SYSTEM.
    ANYBODY who plans to take political office come 2019 has to make clear his position on this, and the press will do well to enlighten the people so they can make informed decisions(hopefully).
    Anybody still planning to work with the present system is vision less and would have nothing to offer the people

    All the names you are brandishing around are people who have no incentive to do the right thing. Why you are fixated on all these old names is mind boggling.

    The fourth estate, has to say things THE WAY IT IS, if we are to do a 180 on this road to perdition

  • E.Udah

    Buhari will be playing a King Hezekiah in the Bible who had 15 more years added to his life but messed it up and brought damnation on Israel!
    He had the chance to put his house in order but he did not!
    I mentioned some days back, that he will yet win if he chooses to contest but he will watch Nigeria collapse in his hands.

    However, please, Bob Dee, stop mentioning the name of Hell Rufia, Musa Kwankwaso, Rochas Okorocha and Ameachi when serious national matter is being discussed! Biko!

  • James Gunn

    Frankly speaking, I don’t understand the volte face from Momodu. Has something happened behind the scenes to warrant this overt withdrawal of support to PMB? Damn. Wonders shall never cease.

    • bigdaddy

      That is what a rational human needs to do. His support is not unconditional. He supported him and is not impressed by his performance. What is wrong if withdraws his support?

      • Naija United

        Good point

  • Wikileaks

    Uncle Dee, I humbly question the inclusion of Bukola Saraki, Nasir El Rufai and Rochas Okorocha on your list of possible successors until I know your yardstick for recommending them.

    • James Gunn

      Not forgetting Rotimi Amaechi

      • Fowad

        Amaechi is not very well understood among his kinsmen. He is a highly detribalised Nigerian.

        • Don Franco

          Dear Fowad,

          Amaechi isn’t detribalised at all; he was expelled by Bamanga Tukur and GEJ from the PDP, and the APC was the only lifeline to avoid being probed for his massive looting of the patrimony of Rivers people, and staying relevant in the Nigerian political calculus; hence he joined APC, and financed their campaign with part of his loot.
          I’m sure you heard him tell the full Senate in July that he is an “Igboman” from Rivers State; by that statement he was identifying with the rest of us who are Biafrans, and need out of this zoo, sooner than later. We are his kinsmen, and we “understood” him alright.

          • remm ieet

            Dear Franco

            Great to know some people still tolerate Amaechi and his antics. At least, it means he will be received, if he strays back into the fold.

          • Don Franco

            Dear Remm ieet,

            He never strayed far from the fold; remember he spoke in fluent rapid Igbo at Opara Square in 2015 when Rochas took him to Enugu to campaign for the APC?
            At any rate all Ikwere are aware that it’s the vote of their Igbo kin that guarantee their majority in Governorship elections, to the chagrin of the riverine minority.
            Truth be told; we’re a forgiving race of people, and will always accept our prodigals who repent.

          • William Norris

            Serious enquiry…..did Amaechi actually say he was Igbo? Do you have a link to the story? I will look too but your help would be appreciated.

            Thanks.

          • Iskacountryman

            kai …amechi na nyamiri…i know one amechi for kaduna street, kaduna…

          • William Norris

            Amaechi is Ikwerre. That I know for sure.

          • Iskacountryman

            ikwerre and nyamiri what is the difference?

          • William Norris

            Yoruba and Nupe, what’s the difference?

          • Iskacountryman

            none…

    • Gary

      Let me help you: Dele uses the Ovation yardstick in picking his political heroes for high office.

      Anyone famous and in the news, as a celebrity or scoundrel, qualifies for consideration as President.
      That is the Ovation Rule. Just be famous, even for being famous. That’s all, then you become Presidential material. That’s also how they sold Buhari to gullible Nigerians as the Saviour of Nigeria.

      Now Dele is hoping that groveling, ego massage and appeasement to the better angels of Buhari’s nature will somehow convince the man to retire and instead pick a crony to continue the same policies that have brought the country so much misery and division within two years.

      That’s the way Dele and like-minds reason. So all we need is for Buhari to step aside and find his own Shonekan as place holder to continue the dominance of the Hausa-Fulani apparatus he has established at NNPC, the DSS and rejigged Army and Security architecture of the country.
      As if the ailing Buhari needs any more prodding to do the needful for his people before God calls him home to account for his lifelong hatred of the Igbo and other Nigerians who are Fulani Sunni Moslems.

  • John Paul

    “If I were President Buhari, I will start grooming a successor right now”
    —————————————————————————————-
    On the contrary.

    PMB should focus on delivering a free and fair presidential election, that is preceded by a 90 minute debate, between all major candidates for the presidential elction. One place that GEJ – perhaps the only place -scored over 50% during his tenure in office, was in the area of free and fair elections. PMB must exceed that record

    He should not be like OBJ. Yar’ Adua was OBJ’s June 12

    Additionally, Nigerians should not forget the Governorship and National Assembly elections. Every single seat should be challenged and contested competitively, in a free and fair election

    • Drake Solo

      You are a dummy for saying elections are the only area GEJ scored 50%. We have witnessed the 100% the present occupant scored in all areas. Clown.

      • James Gunn

        Hahaha

    • Gary

      While you are it, please advise your friends in the regime to reconsider the sequencing of the elections and the package of electoral judicial reforms recently published on this page by Femi Falana; an ally of the same regime.
      It is mischievous and an attempt to foster an election bandwagon effect by rolling out the polls with the Presidential contest that should come last instead of first.
      Tell Buhari’s INEC to reverse the order of voting and the National Assembly to prioritize electoral reform laws in this regard (rather than obsessing over shackling the activities of NGOs that are also needed to monitor free and fair elections).

    • William Norris

      Even John Paul is acknowledging that Jonathan achieved something !!! Woooow, very soon you might be penning a letter of regret like your fellow Zombies – America Abroad, Feyi Fawehinmi, Segun Adeniyi, Romla and Wole Soyinka.

      The Dullard will never do better than Jonathan in ANY area of governance. It doesn’t matter how much you twist and turn, with time you will acknowledge that Buhari is FAILURE personalized. This is his SECOND turn at the Presidency and he has failed AGAIN !!!

      Did you read Segun Adeniyi’s latest article on Buhari’s fight against corruption? Did you weep….because this is one of the PILLARS of your support for The Dullard and his APC.

      Come on, give it a read….here’s open & closing….

      https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2017/09/28/of-corruption-insecticide-and-deodorant/

      ” When on 19th April this year President Muhammadu Buhari ordered the suspension of the Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), Mr David Babachir Lawal and the Director General of the National Intelligence Agency (NIA), Ambassador Ayo Oke, he instituted a three-man committee headed by Vice President Yemi Osinbajo to investigate the allegations against the duo. For those who felt that setting a committee to deal with straight-forward matters was needless, they were comforted by the fact that there would be a quick closure on the matter since the committee had just two weeks to submit its report.

      However, more than five months after, the opposition politicians who dismiss President Buhari’s war against graft as insincere in conception and selective in implementation may be having the last laugh.The most significant appeal of President Buhari’s candidacy in 2015 was the national consensus then that he would be principled, decisive, firm and precise on matters of public morality. Sadly, his failure to act promptly and decisively at critical moments when the public expected clarity has dulled his original appeal and cast doubts on his sincerity. In the process, the dividing line between right and wrong in our nation has further blurred. Therefore, the burden for the president at this most critical period is twofold: first to salvage the credibility of his wobbly administration and, most importantly, to restore public confidence in his personal integrity as a genuine national leader and moral beacon.”

      Meanwhile he found time to marry his daughter off to an oil block billionaire !!!

      LOL !!!!!

      Zombie oh, Zombie !!!

      • Don Franco

        Dear William Norris,

        I’m sure you meant “marry his daughter off to the “Son” of that oil block billionaire” who used to be a Driver to Alhaji Maidaribe; and whose Ethiopian wife eloped from his monstrosity of a mansion in Maiduguri to Houston, TX, with Kase Lawal of CAMAC Petroleum….
        Oh, isn’t his name Mohammed Indimi or something like that? …

  • Don Franco

    Dear Dele,

    E be like say your mumu want start again!
    Didn’t you endorse him for two terms, to enable him fight corruption more effectively; why are you saying the opposite now?

    Surely you can read the handwriting on the wall that your Certificateless Baba isn’t about to vacate Aso Rock for Atiku, El Rufai, Saraki or Kwankwaso, especially not for Osinbajo (whom he still refers to as “Femi Oshibade”). Do you think Buhari knows what the term Succession Planning means? The consensus of opinion at the highest echelon of the APC is that Buhari will win in 2019, even if he were on a wheelchair, but John Oyegun and his co-travelers are in for a rude awakening. It won’t be as easy as they think to rig Buhari in2 the Villa in 2019; he’ll remain there by the skin of his teeth.
    Here are five questions and comments for you to ponder:
    1) Isn’t Atiku’s declaration to run in 2019 (via Mama Taraba”s announcement) responsible for Government’s support to Wale Tinubu and Oando in his battle against Atiku”s INTELS Italian equity partner, Volpi? This, in the face of massive fraud by Wale and Mofe.
    2) Why were the Northern establishment dispatched to Kaduna in the week of Buahri”s return from London, to go warn El Rufai that there’s no vacancy in Aso Rock, in 2019, to stop his grandstanding?;
    3) Why did Ibrahim Magu relent and made the EFCC criminal case files of all the Senatorial and ex-ministerial aspirants for president, available to Attorney General Abubakr Malami, and publicized ahead of 2018 campaign season?
    4) Are you aware that Tinubu’s influence has been diluted by the perfidy of Osinbajo, Amosun; Fayemi and Fashola, expressly to induce support of the SW for Buhari in 2019?
    5) If like you stated in this op-ed, the politicians are the students and we the electorate are their teachers, isn’t Buhari’s compromised INEC the examiner, and final arbiters of who will remain at that citadel of evil and bukwark of our oppression called Aso Rock in 2019?.
    Stop pretending, Bob Dee; we all know that that man will expire in office and that “Femi Oshinbade” will succeed him, and make Dele Momodu presidential spokesman. .. dream on!