Danbatta’s figures on broadband penetration are suspect, contends Sonny Aragba-Akpore
When the announcement of a new broadband plan (2020-2025) was made in 2020, those of us familiar with what broadband meant began to celebrate of life abundance for fast speed internet connectivity on the way.
Three years after, the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) has continued to reel out increment of the progress recorded so far without telling us how it arrived at the figures. Until year 2000, telecommunications operators were largely involved in reeling out figures of numbers of telecommunications subscribers connected to their networks.
But after 2001 when actual regulations of the telecommunications services began, the NCC began to have a hold on regulatory activities especially after the licensing of Mobile Network Operators (MNOs).
MTN Nigeria, Econet Wireless Network and the Nigerian Mobile Telecommunications Limited (Mtel) were the pioneers of mobile communications services.
By their licensing mandates, the NCC had unfettered control of their activities ,they were simply operating under Decree 75 of 1992 which set up the NCC but by the advent of the Nigerian Communications Act 2003, the NCC had become very independent and empowered to carry out proper regulation of the telecommunications services.
The Nigerian Communications Act 2003, lost meaning for the sector between 2019 and May 28,2023 during the reign of terror of a powerful minister. The NCC and its managers were boxed to a corner and close to the cliff. Regulatory activities were taken over by that minister and the buck ended on his table. He annexed the Universal Service Provision Fund ((USPF) and changed the nomenclature from what was previously known. He named his crony Executive Secretary and did a working paper to President Muhammadu Buhari that the Executive Secretary should remain so until he is retired.
But the Minister forgot the way of mortals.
Less than a month after he left office, that same Executive Secretary that he got a blackmarket approval for was removed and redeployed by the same NCC that he had held on its jugular.
It’s managers led by Professor Umar Garba Danbatta found their steams once again. The Professor has been on a strange advocacy lately perhaps to impress Bosun Tijani that he has capacity for the job and he is ready to complete his tenure in a grand style in another two years.
Tijani is not so naive to be carried away by cosmetics displays especially when the industry that he has come to manage has known better years until 2019 when the star agency was taken over by rudderless player posturing as a game changer .
That minister has gone and like English poet, Alfred Lord Tennyson tells us ”authority forgets a dying king”.
Tijani is the new kid on the block.
Danbatta took his advocacy to Kano his home state at the weekend and announced to a bewildered audience that the country had achieved 47% broadband penetration but did not say how we got there. It’s curious how figures are churned out with no explanation as to how these figures emanated .Statistics are supposed to be scientifically arrived at but not so for this broadband matter. From the beginning of this broadband scenario, figures and figures were churned out. How did we know how and who has access to broadband even when figures like 89 million are allocated to broadband connectivity.
At least with my experience and encounters with the system and some of it s workings ,I find it uncomfortable to agree with certain decisions and positions of the commission.
If we agree with the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) teledensity template, it’s inadmissible to believe Danbatta’s figure on the broadband penetration.
How many MNOs have fourth generation (4G) and 5G connectivity and how do we gauge number of subscribers thereto?
Globacom Limited, owners of GloMobile got a Second Network Operator (SNO) license in 2003 but has since abandoned the fixed line component of the license and the NCC looks the other way.
So apart from 21st Century Technology, IPNX, Broadband Connectivity,VGC Communications(MTN), Spectranet and a few others, how many companies address fixed lines connectivity to boost the so called broadband connectivity which NCC says will hit 70% by 2025 especially when regulatory activities are now alien to the industry?
Last week it approved the transfer of a 10MHz spectrum in the 2.6GHz spectrum band from OPENSKYS Services Limited (OS) to MTN Nigeria. A statement from MTN, said the licence took effect on September 7, 2023, and will see MTN deploy the spectrum across the 36 states of the federation, including the FCT. Maybe this will boost broadband connectivity.
The 2.6GHz spectrum band is designated for the deployment of terrestrial mobile broadband services. According to a GSMA report on opportunities for global mobile broadband, the 2.6GHz spectrum band is the ideal complement to the 700MHz-800MHz spectrum bands as together, these bands can help to provide the most cost-effective nationwide coverage of mobile broadband services across both rural and urban areas.
By NCC figures, Broadband penetration in Nigeria stood at 47.36 per cent as at December 2022. The federal government has a target of 70 per cent broadband penetration by 2025.
MTN Nigeria’s acquisition of the broadband spectrum will enable the ICT giant to provide improved broadband services for its customers, meeting the rapidly growing demand for capacity to deliver mobile broadband services on a widespread, common basis across the country.
MTN says ”the transfer of the spectrum will significantly improve its customers’ experience in line with its commitment to deliver excellent service. In addition, the acquired spectrum will also enable the telecommunications operator to deliver broadband technologies, aiding the achievement of Nigeria’s broadband objective.”
Karl Toriola, Chief Executive Officer, MTN Nigeria said, “This additional spectrum will enable us to deliver on our promise to our customers to deliver quality service, as we continue to support the federal government’s vision of deepening broadband penetration in the country.”
A report by the GSMA suggests that an increase in broadband penetration especially in developing countries automatically translates to an increase in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and this underscores the need for constant development and investment in broadband infrastructure such as the 2.6GHz spectrum band.
Danbatta’s advocacy in Kano reviewed five-pillar Strategic Vision Plan as building block, and spoke to 119 milestones achieved under the five strategic pillars, including regulatory excellence, universal broadband, market development, digital economy and strategic collaboration. He said through effective implementation of NCC’s mandates under his leadership and cooperation of internal and external stakeholders since 2015, telecommunications industry in Nigeria has achieved remarkable milestones under our leadership. “While we acknowledge the challenges encountered by the industry, we have also witnessed explosive growth, improved regulatory standards, and digital innovations that have garnered global recognition,” he said.
While reeling out impressive statistics that have characterized his leadership at NCC from 2015 to date, the EVC said active telephone subscribers had increased from less than 150.7 million to 218.9 million, representing a teledensity growth of 115.70 per cent from 107.87 per cent in 2015.
Aragba-Akpore is a member of THISDAY Editorial Board
