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Jonathan Maintains Lead, PDP May Lose More States

07 Apr 2011

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President Goodluck Jonathan

By Collins Edomaruse

With nine days to the presidential election, President Goodluck Jonathan, the candidate of the ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), is most likely to win at first ballot, going by the latest results from the poll conducted for THISDAY by Ipsos, the world’s leading market research company.

But on the down side, the ruling party may lose more than the five states earlier predicted in the governorship election as voters continue to make their decisions ahead of the polls.
In the survey conducted nationwide between March 20 and April 4 – the second wave in the series – 62.1 per cent of the respondents said they would vote for Jonathan, representing a marginal 1.8 percentage point increase above the previous poll conducted between February 25 and March 16, 2011 and published on March 21.

Major General Muhammadu Buhari (rtd) of the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) came second with 23.6 per cent (up from 22.4 per cent in the first wave), Malam Nuhu Ribadu of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) scored 6 per cent (up from 4.7 per cent), and Malam Ibrahim Shekarau of the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) got 1.9 per cent (down from 5.9 per cent). Undecided dropped from 6.4 per cent to 6.2 per cent.

Going by the nationwide results, the presidential race is now effectively between Jonathan and Buhari, with Ribadu and Shekarau failing to record any significant improvement among the polled electorate.
The results show that Jonathan could win in all the geo-political zones, except North-west where Buhari is strongest.
Jonathan has clear leads in 25 states – Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Anambra, Bayelsa, Benue, Cross River, Delta, Ebonyi, Edo, Ekiti, Enugu, Gombe, Imo, Kaduna, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Nasarawa, Ogun, Ondo, Oyo, Plateau, Rivers and Taraba, and FCT. He holds narrow leads in two states – Bauchi and Osun – but has lost his lead in Niger to Buhari, although he gained Bauchi and Ekiti during the period.
Buhari holds clear leads in six states – Borno, Jigawa, Kano, Kebbi, Yobe and Zamfara – and narrow leads in three – Katsina, Niger and Sokoto.

The winner of the presidential election is required to score a simple majority of votes in addition to a minimum of 25 per cent in at least 24 states of the federation.
Going by the results of the survey, Jonathan will score at least 25 per cent in 32 states and FCT. He may however fail to hit the percentage in four states – Jigawa, Kano, Kebbi and Yobe.
It may be an uphill task for Buhari who is likely to meet the requirement in only 14 states and FCT, while failing in 22 states. Instructively, he did not score 25 per cent of the polled samples in any of the 17 Southern states.

He may also fail to meet the requirement in five Northern states, namely Adamawa, Benue, Kogi, Kwara and Taraba.
In the governorship, PDP could lose as many as six states – up from five predicted in the last wave of polling. It was predicted two weeks ago that PDP could lose five states in the governorship election—Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Imo and Kebbi.
However, the latest results show that while PDP could win 16 states, it could as well lose six states to the opposition, while another four hang in the balance.

For now, Bauchi is off the danger list for the PDP, but Ogun, Kwara, Kaduna and Nasarawa are endangered.
Kwara is tilting towards ACN, Kaduna and Nasarawa towards CPC. Although PDP is recovering lost ground in Delta and Kebbi, the leads are so marginal that it could swing either way. Democratic Peoples Party (DPP) is breathing down the neck of PDP in Delta while in Kebbi, the CPC is giving the party a run for its money.

Five states currently controlled by the PDP are too close to call – Adawama, which is a three-horse race involving PDP, CPC and ACN; Ebonyi, where ANPP is making a strong showing; Oyo, where again ACN is pushing forward; and Plateau, where the Deputy Governor, Pauline Tallen, who is running on the platform of Labour Party (LP), is doing very well.
ACN is gaining significantly across the states, notably Ogun and Kwara. In Ogun, the party is in clear lead ahead of the PDP, while in Kwara, it seems Saraki, the father and the son, may have to join forces to ward off the third force. Dr. Olusola Saraki is backing the Allied Congress Party of Nigeria (ACPN) candidate, Senator Gbemisola Saraki, while Governor Bukola Saraki is backing the PDP candidate, Alhaji AbdulFatah Ahmed.

Ipsos conducted 8,289 face-to-face and 3,270 telephonic interviews for this study.
Interviews were conducted with Nigerian adults aged 18+ who are registered to vote in the elections in April 2011.
The fieldwork was conducted from March 20th to April 4th by means of in-home interviews by trained Ipsos interviewers. The face-to-face sample was drawn from a stratified random selection of sampling points across all states in Nigeria. Telephonic fieldwork was conducted by means of re-contacting a panel of respondents who agreed to partake in this polling study after an earlier representative face-to-face survey. Quotas were set by state.

Overall data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
Interviews were conducted in all 36 states of the federation and the FCT. The interviews were conducted in the language of choice of the respondents: English, Pidgin, Igbo, Yoruba or Hausa.
All sample surveys are subject to statistical error, depending on sample size, interviewing methodology and response rate.
The margin of error for this poll is 0.93. This means that in 95 out of every 100 cases, the findings will fall within +/- 0.93 per cent range when looking at the national results. Base sizes for individual states vary but are much lower which means that the margin of error is wider for state results.
On a state level, the margin of error varies between +/- 5.8 per cent and +/- 6.3 per cent.

States PDP May Lose

BAYELSA
Silva PDP    34%
Alaibe LP    47%
Undecided    19%

BENUE
Suswam PDP    20%
Ugbah ACN    76%
Saror ANPP    1%
Undecided    3%

IMO
Ohakim PDP    21%
Araraume ACN    9%
Okorocha APGA    54%
Undecided    14%

KWARA
Ahmed PDP    34%
Belgore ACN    41%
Saraki ACPN    12%
Undecided    12%

NASARAWA
Doma PDP    39%
Almakura CPC    45%
Aboki LP      9%
Undecided    8%

OGUN
Olurin PDP    24%
Amosun ACN    55%
Isiaka PPN    4%
Undecided    16%


Who Would You Vote For?

Jonathan
62.1%

Buhari
23.6%

Ribadu
6%

Shekarau
1.9%

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  • Lies! Lies! Lies who are these liars predicting rubbish?

    From: sola

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Good job.
    This survey looks balance, all things being equal and if there is no significant negative events that could influence the electorates' swing votes in the next few days.

    Prince Adetule writes from USA

    From: Prince Adetule writes from USA

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Nigeria is a great nation please lets go out there and vote for Goodluck

    From: ahmed olukoya

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • I will vote for Buhari.
    CPC is going to win Adamawa state.

    From: alameen

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Judging by the mechanism for the collation of these polls and by their consistencies, it is most encouraging that, Nigerians are fed up with the rubbish treatments they have been dished in the past twelve years and are determined for change. Broadly, I can accept the poll which suggests that, there is going to be the return of the gentleman President and a loss for the corrupt, non-performing and ineffective Governors. This poll being the last towards the election, is bound to be nearly correct as it reflects my own projection as I follow the trends in Nigeria.

    From: Earnest Olawale Fasan

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Please all Nigerian should vote 4 Goodluck joanathan.

    From: ime akpan

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • UNFORTUNATE THOSE PERTAKING THE OPINION POLL ARE THE FEW ELITES WHILE THE MAJORITY ARE IN THE VILLAGE WITHOUT EVEN A LIGHT TALK LESS OF AN INTERNET SO THE RACE CONTINUE LETS NOBODY DECEIVE YOU WITH THAT POLL.

    From: IBRO

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • I didn't see Delta State as one of the states that PDP may lose. Your poll results may be defective if Delta is not listed.

    From: Samuel

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • * If you can, deduce any incompatibility, in principles and objectives entrenched entrenched Article I, II, III, IV, V, VI, and VII, of the Constitution of the United States of America; Chapter I, Chapter II, Chapter V, Chapter VI, and Chapter VII, of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999, as amended by an act of 2010; Title One, Title Two, 3rd Title, Title 4, Title 5, and Title 6, of the Federal Constitution of the Swiss Confederation; Article 1 through Article 92, of the Constitution Act of 1867; and Article 25, 26, 27, of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, on the aforementioned matter. Considering the power of spirit in a follower suffering and frustrated; increases or decreases proportionally to practical or impractical steps taken by leaders, to alleviate the suffering and frustration of follower; characterized by similitude of aforementioned follower hereinafter. It is evident that, and predicable on grounds of conduct of the elections reflecting integrity, transparency, accountability, amongst others, and principles and objectives entrenched in the rule of law/Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999, as amended 2010; and the Electoral Act 2006, as amended 2010; would determine the outcome of the Presidential elections reflecting gains and looses of adherence and disregard, effectiveness and ineffectiveness of provisions of article 5, paragraph i, iv, viii, and xxv of the Constitution of the Action Congress Party of the Federal Republic of Nigeria; article 7 paragraph 2, (c) Constitution of the People Democratic Party of the Federal Republic of Nigeria; and article 4, paragraph 1, of the Constitution of the Congress for Progressive Change, (CPC), political party, a derivatives of principles and objectives entrenched entrenched sections 223 subsection b, section 224, sections 13, section 14 subsection 3, and section 15 subsection 4, of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999, a derivatives of principles and objectives entrenched entrenched article 25, 26, 27, of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, and applicable sections of constitutions of all nations in accordance with international law, and human rights. Do you think that adopting rotational zoning of political office holders amongst ethnic, groups in a multi-ethnic society. Could compromise competency, integrity, of leadership to achieving good governance. And by not adopting rotational zoning of political office holders, thus leads to political sectarianism, and instability, disunity, chaos and the undermining of rule of law. Also, in accordance with aims of fostering rule of law, human rights, accountability, and transparency, which are catalyst for good governance for national unity, peace, and progress. What is the way forward, to prevent division, along ethnic, religious, social, economic, and political, lines. And to thwart mischiefs of mischief-makers, and hypocrites; of rule of law, human rights, accountability, and transparency, which are catalyst for good governance for national unity, peace, and progress?


    Do you agree, that statements like: "We have jettison zoning" "repeal zoning"/ "repeal federal character" "proponents (I.e. electorates and aspirants, of zoning/federal character; are incompetent, to contest and be elected, in a free and fair election". Are grossly offensive, counter-productive, selfish, and unethical tactic, against successful persuasion, of aggrieved; sincere, and vocal plaintiffs (I.e.Northerners,) who are proponents of upholding the unambiguous, logical, ethical, and justice principles, and vision, in equal chances to lead, for unity, peace, tranquillity, and advancement, as enshrined in the logic of zoning/federal character, in the constitution. To concede to mutual agreement to wait until the end of tenure of leadership, in the South; to the North?

    On what grounds would/should you/we agree or disagree, or debate on the causes and long-term remedies for these challenges. On what would/should you/we agree or disagree, with summarized facts hereinafter?

    See more:

    http://www.facebook.com/mubaraqtopeakere/posts/186396228071748

    http://topics.law.cornell.edu/constitution/overview

    http://www.nigeria-law.org/ConstitutionOfTheFederalRepublicOfNigeria.htm#Chapter_1

    http://www.admin.ch/ch/e/rs/101/index.html

    http://www.admin.ch/org/polit/00083/index.html?lang=en&download=M3wBPgDB_8ull6Du36WenojQ1NTTjaXZnqWfVp3Uhmfhnapmmc7Zi6rZnqCkkIN0f32CbKbXrZ6lhuDZz8mMps2gpKfo

    http://www.servat.unibe.ch/icl/sz00t___.html

    http://www.constitutionofcanada.com/constitution-act-1867.shtml

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigeria

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switzerland

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canada#Confederation_and_expansion

    International Law:

    http://www2.ohchr.org/english/law/

    CONSTITUTIONNET "Virtual Library: National constitution":

    http://www.constitut/
    ionnet.org/en/vl/fsearch/results/taxonomy:1358

    CONSTITUTIONNET "Virtual Library":

    http://www.constitutionnet.org/en/vl/fsearch

    University of Richmond Constitution Finder:

    http://confinder.richmond.edu/index.html

    See more:

    http://www.facebook.com/mubaraqtopeakere/posts/128799303859637?notif_t=share_comment

    From: Mubaraq Tope Akere

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • This is the beauty of applied statistics. To some of us , this is why we are keen on a free and fair election. we derive lots of psychi satisfaction reading and seeing how people think and adjudge their leadership. please let there be free and fair elections. i must also commend IPSO AND THISDAY for a job well done.

    From: francis

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Thank you so much Mr.poll researcher, while i have no doubt in my mind on the winning power of Goodluck for the presidential election but some states analysis seems tutored by some forces(posters,media adverts,Hooliganism etc)Plateau for instance can never fall into the hand of Tallen(because the veil has just been removed and we now know those sponsoring her)and she cannot refute it.Plateau can not be sold to those two Bauchi Alhajis.we are wiser now

    From: Sunny

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Thisday tales by moonlight. May God preserve our lives till election day so that we can test the veracity of your usual 'Jankara market' polls. I honestly think that you should not be deceiving President Jonathan in this manner. It is very unfair because he is a nice man.

    From: Ibrahim Garba

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • What senseless rubbish reporting is this?

    From: Ebuka

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • A very good analysis

    From: Amdee

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Ipsos I don`t think you are upto date with your statistics,please find out what happened on Saturday with the canceled election and give us the current data.

    From: lawal

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Your forecast is flawed. Yes, so much flawed. Delta, Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom are out of reach of PDP. Dont mislead people with your opinion polls. We know what is on ground. Even at the presidential level, given a freee and fair contest CPC will floor PDP.

    From: Sunny

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • You are wasting your time by claiming that Jonathan is leading with 62 vote ahead of Buhari. You even claimed that Jonathan will win all the geopolitical region with the exception of north west only, what a shame research? I think is high time you stop deceiving Jonathan by giving him fake hope. Because Jonathan can only win two region south-south and south east who's number of voters is not more than 17 million. please go and read the true analysis made by Hon. Aminu Ghali on April 3, 2011 Daily Trust newspaper. There is no any magic that can make Jonathan win as you claimed except if you are saying this justify their planned rigging PDP is known for. thank God we are already in April, only time shall tell

    From: Madaki Abdulsalam

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • This is the most senseless poll I have ever since - unfortunately, it makes the cover page of national daily. How will PDP win in Kaduna? The event of last Saturday was enough to prove that this poll was a fraud

    From: Waheed Adeoye from Lagos

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • MY VOTES GO TO JONATHAN FOR PRESIDENCY,ROCHAS(APGA) FOR GUBER IMO STATE,UDENWA(ACN) SENATORIAL,HARISON NWADIKE(ACN) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVE.

    From: IHEME,CALLISTUS I,

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Buhari will win even in the eastern states because we the Ibos want a change. the reason why it looks like Jonathan is leading is because most people who want Buhari are not even literate enough to post a comment here. just watch the wonders of God. Buhari will win

    From: Esther Onyejiaka

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • I WILL ALSO CAST MY VOTE FOR JONATHAN. I AM VERY HAPPY THAT OHAKIM IS LOSING I HOPE HE WILL CONTINUE TO LOSE. OKOROCHA IS THE BEST FOR IMO.

    From: chinyere Anyanwu

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • The voters are in the village with no access to food and drinking water talk less of electricity and internet that they don't even know (as IBRO sighted above). Note that the people participating in this polls (online) haven't got voters card they were in their offices enjoying AC) when the 74 million voters registered under the sun. The real voters will come out next week and This Day you will be shock with the outcome (although I know you you knew the truth - are deceiving your selves...).

    From: Sunday Obinna

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • President Jonathan is surely the candidate to beat in the forthcoming presidential poll. Come to think of it, which other candidate do we really vote for? Is it Buhari, who has been caught up by age and who does not appear to have a grasp of how a modern society is run? Hence he chose Pastor Bakare so that he can run the government for him. Incidentally, the constitution still requires him as the Head of State to pilot the affairs of the state and yet he wants to rule by proxy. Is it Nuhu Ribadu who appears to be more of an NGO man than running a presidential race. Is it Shekarau whose party ANPP appears restricted to Kano. Jonathan is the only serious candidate. I am not therefore not surprised by the survey!

    From: Prof. Nurudeen Aminu

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • VOTE WISELY,VOTE FOR UNITY AND TRANSFORMATION,VOTE JONATHAN/SAMBO ALL THE WAY.

    From: USMAN_BAYERO

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • "Jonathan has clear leads in 25 states " Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Anambra, Bayelsa, Benue, Cross River, Delta, Ebonyi, Edo, Ekiti, Enugu, Gombe, Imo, Kaduna, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Nasarawa, Ogun, Ondo, Oyo, Plateau, Rivers and Taraba, and FCT"

    Please how can you claim that Jonathan has chances in Lagos of all states?

    From: 'Gbemi Osinuga from Lagos

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • i would vote Buhari and Bakare for presidency. Good survey, I pray last minute campaign wold change the electoral table in favour of Buhari.

    From: soje samson

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • PDP have no place in Delta,DPP WILL WIN IN DELTA

    From: KELVIN

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • YES, THIS IS HOW DATA ARE PRESENTED... NOT THE JUNK FROM OTHER POLLING RESULTS THAT HAVE NO DEVELOPED DATA ... GOOD JOB

    From: G Ogbeide-

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • GEJ - goodluck 9ja!

    From: Elliot Faminu

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • yes, ACN and CPC are really working, and am very happy that there is opposition in Nigeria.

    From: Laz from Mkd

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • The will of God shall be done regardless of political analysis. We just have to move forward.

    From: Rotimi

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • I am so impressed with the poll's result though tentatively, it is a true reflection of what we thought, those criticizing are entitled to their own opinion and I know that come rain come sun GEJ will have the day because Buhari is only preaching and promoting sectional politics, inserting violence in the name of urging people to stay back and defend their votes . I am equally impressed with Imo result because I personally sampled opinions the last time I traveled home and the result I got is not far from the IPSO's result. thanks for the wonderful work done.

    From: Okere Thank-God

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • THISDAY NEWSPAPER, JONATHAN/PDP SUPPORTERS, COMMENTATORS HERE AND YOUR LIKES, DECEIVE YOURSELVES, BELIEVE WHAT YOU WANT TO BELIEVE AND ENJOY IT WHILE IT LASTS, WE SHALL MEET AT THE POLLS TO FACE REALITY. NONSENSE!

    From: TEEJAY

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • i support you, mr madaki.Nigerians are fed up with the rubbish treatment they have been dished in the past twelve years and are determined for change thanks.

    From: wasiu alli from abj

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Ipsos, your survey is so elitist, pls study the outcome of the botched Saturday election carefully, I'm sure you will realise how rubbish you are talking. PDP? No. To hell. I'm sure you people are not current with the realities on ground. Go out and see what real voters are up to- crucifying PDP. You guys are just sitting down in the luxury of your offices and making senseless and misleading predictions. We cannot be deceived

    From: Aliyu

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Good analysis, But Jonathan will loose the presidency,
    PDP will loose Ogun State.

    From: Isaac Isah

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • I appreciate your effort at this survey. At least, it will elicit reactions from across the nation.I have my doubts if Jonathan will win by the margin you predicted. His campaign team needs to work harder. For Imo, am sure your survey was restricted to an area in Owerri where Rochas has done so well. I urge you to go into the rural areas. You will discover that Araraume is the man to beat. After April 26 am sure you will reconsider your survey approach.

    From: Peter Okereafor

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • This forcast is wrong because there is no way PDP will take Edo State. PDP is Nigerian's problem.But to be fair there is no election in Nigeria, all we have is selection.Only God will help us. One Nigeria our beloved Country

    From: Uyi

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • People in the North will never tell you they would vote against a sitting president. For fear of being arrested or intimidated. We all know at the pools they will Vote against PDP. The Truth is that PDP will only get about 50 Vote in the SE and 70 in the SS. All the other Zones they would not get up to 30 Vote.

    From: CIA

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Rubbish, rubbish and rubbish. Let us stop deceiving Nigerians. Goodluck or no Goodluck, Nigerians are tired of this cult called PDP(POVERTY DEVElOPMENT PARTY). Let us not deceive ourselves Goodluck can not win in the north. Jonathan can not win in the west. The west is a Stronghold of ACN. Jonathan's vote will only come from the eastern states and south south. Research have shown that most people who have access to the internet don't even vote. Some who even make comments don't even live in Nigeria not to talk of them voting on election day. Go to the rural areas and you will be amazed how people hate to hear the name PDP. Online polls are not reliable. Before the governorship election in Anambra state that produce Peter obi, all the online polls gave it to either Soludo or Ngige. Even fake Prophets or should i say Political prophets gave it to them too. But at the end what? Obi carried the day. What has Goodluck done to deserve our vote? Absolutely nothing. If a leader is performing, it will certainly show in the lives of the masses. PDP has taken Nigerians for granted for too long and i think is time for all progressive Nigerians to rise and sweep all the unproductive umbrellas away with our brooms in our hands. Vote wisely, vote ACN, Vote RIBADU.

    From: Prof Jas

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • I think Goodluck will win the presidency. Ohakin will surely lose while Okorocha and Ararume will have a run off election. Onyirimba Stanford will win the Fed house of rep and udennwa Senate

    From: Mike

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • It is now official that the election of the 9th will be postponed again.
    Jega has now postponed 14 of both Senate and the House of Representative election, stressing lack of ballot papers. For how long will Nigerians continue to tolerate this crass incompetence. INEC has all these years to prepare for these elections and they have failed woefully. In a very important thing like elections INEC could have had plans B, C, D, E, etc. INEC failure at this critical stage, is not and option and unacceptable. The elections must not only be free and fair, but must be seen to be free and fair. INEC has failed these tests and as such Jega must go and must go now

    From: Patrick Agbobu

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • The core masses vote will be the determinant factor..ACN on top...few elits cannot determine the out come of 2011 election..Gongo-Aso...

    From: Loseyi Famiyesin

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • your analysis are good but the Nigerian votes will decide

    From: austine popo

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • PDP is the only problem Nigeria has now. Goodluck for president,okorocha for imo governor....finito

    From: uju

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • This survey is economical with truth,PDP will lose more than five states,and i doubt strongly of Jonathan is about 40 ahead of Buhari if at all he is.

    From: Abel Peter

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • ha ha ha !!!i seriously laugh.is this a conducted poll or an assignment done within the confines of an enclosed space?Jonathan is bound to fail in this coming election.PDP will definitely loose Edo state.infact,this is poll does not make sense because the reality on ground according to the cancelled NASS election points to the fact that Jonathan and PDP will loose dangerously.

    From: jehu

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • GOODLUCK......NA U BIKOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!! LONG LIVE UNITED NIGERIA............TO HELL RELGIOUS BIGOTS & BYE BYE TRIBAL POLITICS!!!!!!!

    From: Balarabe202

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • buhari will become a president IN fouthcomingELEction. insha allah

    From: abubakar garba

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • You visit State Capitals to interview people who did not register not to even talk of voting and you claim Goodluck will win. You powered your computer with which you compiled your fake results with generator, probably traveled with jeeps cos of the bad roads and you think Jonathan will win. Stop deceiving this man plsssssss. Go talk to the Almajiris who will vote, the market woman, the butcher, welder, bricklayer etc and feel their pulse. It is obvious, we are tired of PDP.

    From: Christian

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • Some people don't want Goodluck, is a pity you cant borrow gudluck from anybody, but don't tear the cloth, party never exist now, for what we believe now is individual and nit parties. Goodluck nigeria.

    From: okoroiwu george

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • This is rubbish survey,the real result will come out April 16th,where CPC will be victorious by the special grace of GOD.We the masses are tired of the deceit of PEOPLE DECEIVE PEOPLE.zain

    From: zainab

    Posted: 3 years ago

    Flag as inappropriate

  • I really pity the Nigerian Elite who wants a change, but rather than work for it, only would talk about it. Elections are won by structures on the ground. It takes time to build structures. Elections come every 4 years, but you people would rather run the race in 3 months or 6 months and not even using a united front. If the elites are tired of PDP, then you must build a common front, fund the structure that ensures that right information is adequately disseminated to every nook and cranny of this country.As I write now, only PDP has the structure that would deliver the presidency all over this nation, not CPC, not ACN not ANPP.

    I do not believe in self pity, I would rather come up with a plan and work at the plan that over a reasonable period which I am sure would lead to the desired change.

    It is a shame that the generation that plays with technology does not know its use and power and how it can be harnessed to achieve common good. Also is the generation bereft of a proper understanding of statistics and its use.

    If we continue like this, PDP would run a few more rings around the so called Elites of this country in the years to come. It is time to wake up. As for 2011, I say boldly only God can sweep away PDP, as for the people that you rely on in the villages, they would give PDP the votes that allows it to win at the first ballot.

    Instead of starting now, creating a common Vision, working hard like slaves to take power away from this generation of inept Nigerians, typified by all the candidates presented by PDP,CPC & ACN This whole scenario might repeat itself again in 2015, everyone goes back to their work now and start all these mouthing jargons again by Jan 2015.

    From: A.G.O

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • Some people are using this medium to vent their anger on a candidate or a political party while others are campaigning for the candidate of their choice. However, while everyone is entitled to his/her own opinion, I still think that this poll by thisday is a true reflection of the mind of majority of Nigerians. Those against Jonathan winning in the northern states should not get surprised if he wins in Kastina which is Buhari's home state. A practical example is the PDP presidential primary; don't tell me it was rigged! Meanwhile, the actual result will even be more favourable for PDP after they must have employed their rigging machines all over the country and Buhari will have his northern brother to blame for that. I will be happy if Rochas wins Imo but PDP will likely rig him out.
    I have stopped sticking my neck out for a particular candidate to win since previous experience has shown that the ones we thought to be angels have turned out to be birds of a feather.
    May the luckiest ones win.

    From: CHIDOZIE EJEZIE

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • I will personally agree with the above political analysis, if at must, 10 of the 64m people that expected to vote in 2011 elections has opportunity to participate in the poll otherwise the poll is just a mere expression of few supporters of Mr. Good Luck.

    From: Ibrahim Modu-Abba

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • The voters for CPC are not connected online.Therefore,this result is not reflecting the true situation of events across the nation.

    From: Ozor Nnanna

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • Ipso...you were not clear about delta state on who,s going to get the upper hand...But as a former PDP faithful from the state and those with high sense of integrity will agree with me that PDP cannot win except through rigging as it happened in the past but was overturned by INEC in favor of PDP...........People are now more inform and interested about the credibility of those who wants to governs them.......the person involve is too popular for PDP to win hence they often time take to rigging

    From: Idise chukutem

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • And Goodluck seems to be among the luckiest Nigerians. Even when PDP are loosing more states in the Gubernitorial race, he is still extending his lead.

    From: CHIDOZIE

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • Under free and fair election, PDP will not win Ebonyi state. ANPP is leading by every indication.

    From: ID

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • Jonathan is a symbol of humility,peace,progress and a united Nigeria,therefore,he deserves a total victory from his presidential election come 9th of April. Nigerians, let our conscience be our judge.

    From: cornelius 4rm Mexico

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • You cannot predict us. we are not predicted thats why all your economy theories can not work here

    From: lawal dele

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • Am liking it. See the result of that poll in Bayelsa State.
    A repeat of OBJ losing SW in 1999 when elected(selected).
    Lets get it done Nigerians.Go out and vote,
    Nigeria, Good People, Great Nation.

    From: Noni

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • No Alternative to Jonathan!
    Nigerians have to choose between a Jonathan victory or the dissolution of the Nigerian union at this election. Yorubas are not ready to accept a Buhari Presidency. He's an unrepentant Fulani tribalist and religious bigot. That's why he canceled the Metroline project in Lagos when he was military ruler for no just cause. When he was PTDF chairman, most of the projects he implemented were in only two zones of the country, North East and his native North West. Yet the resources came from the South. No way for Buhar!

    From: Kola

    Posted: 3 years ago

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  • The real fresh air is Muhammadu Buhari. If,as everyone affirms that our biggest problem as a nation is Corruption. The We have just one choice BB2011. He'll not be a stooge. He has zero tolerance for corruption. Corruption politicians who have continued to milk this nation dry will stop at nothing-sponsoring smear campaigns in the media all aimed at stopping this Man cos if this Man takes over purging will start. Some will run into self exile and if u must stay you must be ready to play by the new rules.

    From: Chukwemeka Aristotle

    Posted: 3 years ago

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