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In the Battle of the Spouses, Romney's Up, But Obama Leads

10 Oct 2012

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Mrs Obama (L) with Mris Romney


ABC OTUS NEWS

Ann Romney's popularity has jumped since April as her national exposure has increased, but Michelle Obama maintains a clear advantage in the battle of the spouses - with both women rated more favourably than their campaign-scarred husbands.

Fifty-two percent of Americans in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll see Ann Romney favourably, vs. 69 percent for Michelle Obama, a 17-point edge for the first lady. Still, favourable views of Romney have gained 12 points since April, while views of Obama are unchanged.

More favourable ratings for Romney coincide with a 14-point decline in the number of adults who have yet to form an opinion of her, from 30 percent in April to 16 percent now. Her unfavourable rating has held steady, at three in 10, suggesting that virtually all of those who've made up their minds about her since spring have done so favourably, reports ABC OTUS News.

Twenty-six percent view Obama unfavourably in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, with just 6 percent undecided, both essentially unchanged since April.

The popularity of presidential candidates' spouses does not drive vote preferences. But every advantage can count in a close race, and spouses can play a very public role in the campaigns.

Obama's popularity is roughly on par with two previous first ladies in data since 1992 - Barbara Bush that year (73 percent saw her favourably) and Laura Bush in 2004 (66 percent favourable, among registered voters); Hillary Clinton was considerably less popular, with 47 percent of registered voters seeing her favourably in fall 1996.

Romney, for her part, has a rating similar to those of several other challengers' wives once they were reasonably well-known - Cindy McCain (47 percent, among registered voters), Tipper Gore (57 percent) and Elizabeth Dole (51 percent of registered voters) in available data.

Michelle Obama and Ann Romney are rated very similarly among registered voters as among all adults (67 and 56 percent favourable, respectively) and both do better than their spouses: As reported Tuesday, Barack Obama had a 55 percent popularity rating, Mitt Romney 47 percent, among registered voters in this survey.

Like their husbands, each spouse appeals most to her party's base. Ann Romney's gains in popularity since April, while broadly based, have been best among Republicans (+19 points) and conservatives (+20 points). Michelle Obama, for her part, continues to be rated most favourably by African-Americans, Democrats and liberals.

Obama has maintained some degree of bipartisan support - she is seen favourably by 43 percent of Republicans and half of conservatives. Romney does less well across the aisle; about one-third of Democrats and liberals view her favourably.

Obama also fares better in the middle. Two-thirds of independents rate her favourably, while half say the same about Romney. But Romney has some room to improve in this group, with nearly two in 10 still to make up their minds.

Tags: World, Politics, Spouses, Obama, Mris Romney

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